Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports

Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports

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Robinhood is seeing growing demand for prediction markets tied to bitcoin, gold and oil, as traders increasingly look beyond sports and elections to bet on moves in financial markets.

Price volatility contracts tied to those assets are among the fastest-growing products in prediction markets, according to JB Mackenzie, VP and GM for futures and prediction markets at Robinhood.

Sports is the largest product the platform offers, said Mackenzie at the NEXTPredict conference in New York on Thursday.

However, he said there is a shift in how people use the platform.

“We’ve now started to see price volatility contracts, such as bitcoin, crude oil, gold, start to dominate the marketplace, and they’re the fastest growing products that are out there,” Mackenzie said.

Prediction markets allow traders to buy contracts based on whether an event will happen, with prices reflecting the market’s implied probability of an outcome.

A contract might ask whether bitcoin will trade above a certain price at a set time, giving traders a way to take a position without buying the cryptocurrency itself.

The market has grown from its roots in elections into sports, economic data and short-term price bets.

Robinhood entered the business through a partnership with Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction market exchange, and has since made event contracts a growing part of its trading platform.

The expansion comes as sports contracts face legal challenges from state gambling regulators, raising questions about how much of that market will remain available.

Analiz: Piyasa hareketliliği devam ediyor.