Bitcoin awaits Fed rate decision below $76K as analysis discounts ‘dovish surprise’ odds

Bitcoin awaits Fed rate decision below $76K as analysis discounts ‘dovish surprise’ odds

Özet: Kripto piyasasında önemli gelişmeler yaşanıyor.

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed near monthly lows at Wednesday’s Wall Street open as markets awaited the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates.

Key points: Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD trading below $76,000 after hitting new September lows of $74,960 the day prior.

The weakness occurred as the CLARITY Act failed to garner enough votes in the Senate to advance to the debate stage, falling short of the 60 required.

Now, attention has turned to the Fed, as it is facing a balancing act between taming inflation and satisfying the demand of US president Donald Trump, who has repeatedly demanded that rates be cut.

The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool put the odds of officials confirming a 0.25% rate hike at over 90% at the time of writing, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.75-4%.

Commenting, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted that these odds made a rate hike a near certainty.

“In data going back to 2008, whenever expectations of a hike have been this high, the Fed has invariably delivered one.

If the Fed decided to leave interest rates unchanged today, it would mark the biggest dovish surprise at a scheduled policy meeting since 1994,” it wrote in a post on X.

The meeting marks just one of three central-bank rate decisions this month.

The European Central Bank enacted a 0.25% hike last week, while the Bank of Japan is expected to do likewise at its Friday meeting, bringing its benchmark rate to 1.25%, its highest in 31 years.

Analiz: Piyasa hareketliliği devam ediyor.